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Speeches matching topic Economic Forecast
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The global order that prevailed since the end of the Second World War has hit its limits. A breakdown in longstanding domestic, regional, and international political equilibria is making policymakers both less able and less willing to collaborate internationally. The result: a G-Zero world characterized by a growing vacuum in global governance.
 
Ian Bremmer predicts a new world order that will succeed our G-Zero reality. The question, is whether citizens across the world will remain passive throughout this process, or take on a proactive role in determining what future they want to live in.  This new world order will be characterized by three important developments:


1. The end of a cycle
2. The end of politics as you knew it
3. Saving global governance from the G-Zero
 
Mr. Bremmer will share his insights and views to help attendees understand the broader issues to consider as they formulate policy portfolios for the years ahead.

The recent global financial crisis and the ongoing softness in much of the advanced countries—the EU, Japan and the U.S.—have shaken businesses’, investors’ and policymakers’ perceptions and confidence of a return to historic levels of stable growth. The fact that many emerging markets have been growing at annual rates two to three times those of the industrialized economies over the past two decades appears to confirm that the world marketplace is actually undergoing a structural transformation. What are the fundamental sources of these phenomena? Is this a one-time change, owning to a longer than normal business cycle that has yet to run its full course, or is it part of a long-term secular change?  What new risks and opportunities are presented? Harry Broadman’s on-the-ground insights about the genesis and implications of these shifts—and his surprising bullish view—will alter how audiences think about the future of the U.S. and the world economies and will shape the decisions they make.

Over the past several years, interest in Africa as a destination for investment has been growing at a startling clip. A few niche private equity firms were the first to make serious inroads into the continent more than a decade ago. Now, a growing number of multinational corporations and the largest private equity firms, as well as a variety of other institutional investors, have “discovered” Africa. Still, too few business leaders and policymakers in the U.S., the EU and other advanced countries are aware that for the past two decades, much of sub-Saharan Africa has been enjoying a relatively uninterrupted period of robust growth, where, on average, there’s been an annual increase in gross domestic product (GDP) of more than five percent over those 20 years. Moreover, while most investors, economists and policymakers forecast that Africa would suffer the greatest economic damage from the recent global financial crisis, the exact opposite was the case: pound for pound, the continent proved to be the most resilient region of the world economy. What’s behind the excitement over Africa? Is it a real opportunity or just the investment du jour? How are investors coping with the risks? And how do those risks compare with other regions of the world? Given the vast size, the large number and the heterogeneity of the countries on the continent, how do businesses and investors determine which ones are the standouts and which ones to avoid? Having spent time in more than half of the number of African states, Harry Broadman speaks authoritatively about the prospects for Africa’s long-term growth, the use of innovative approaches for mitigating risks, and how to assess and capitalize on new market opportunities on the continent. Broadman reveals pivotal developments and trends taking place in a number of African countries that disrupt long-held views about doing business in the region.

The conventional wisdom on Wall Street, inside the Capital Beltway, in the union hall and throughout the shopping mall is that it is inevitable that China will soon dominate the global economy. While at present, doubts are voiced due to the current slowdown in China’s output and the bubble in its real-estate sector, at the fundamental level those concerns are widely seen as temporary speed bumps in China’s inexorable march to be the world’s economic captain. A deeper understanding of the underlying structure and functioning of Chinese banks and enterprises, the framework governing policymaking in Beijing, the arc of the Communist Party’s stronghold over the economy, and the nexus of environmental, health and social challenges affords a different perspective. What are China’s real economic and policy risks?  What role does the absence of democracy in the country play in China’s economic fortunes?  How much has the Chinese economy in fact changed since the advent of reform in 1978?  Where are there opportunities for China’s long-term growth? Harry Broadman, who has worked throughout China at the field level since 1993, will excite audiences with this fresh perspective on the trajectory of China’s economic destiny.

We are entering into a post currency era; the reign of nation states over money is now over. As the blockchain allows individuals and organizations to launch their own economic systems, the global capital markets will have to react and respond. This may be the largest shift in the movement of money ever. 

Gordon Brown (Exclusively WSB)

The international financial crisis that has held the world economy in its grip since 2008 is still stirring across many corners of the globe. In this discussion based on his book Beyond the Crash: Overcoming the First Crisis of Globalization, Gordon Brown addresses how the crisis can be reversed and asserts that world leaders must continue to work together if we are to avoid another decade of lost jobs and low growth. Speaking both as someone who was in the room driving discussions that led to some crucial decisions and as an expert renowned for his remarkable financial acumen, Brown puts forth not just an explanation of what happened but a clear directive for how to prevent future financial disasters. He argues that markets need morals and suggests that the only way to truly ensure that the world economy does not flounder so badly again is to institute a banking constitution and a global growth plan for jobs and justice.

Gordon Brown (Exclusively WSB)

Gordon Brown examines the economic impact of the populist rebellion in the west, highlighted by the U.S. election result, the Brexit and Italian referendums, and the descent into protectionist policies in western and eastern Europe. 

How and why have so many subscribed to populist and protectionist policies? What are the consequences for trade, standards of living, and much-needed economic reform? Can we combat populism by changes in domestic policies – such as by retraining the unemployed for new jobs, tackling low wages, and controlling immigration – or does the international economy need to be better managed to deliver growth, jobs, and a better quality of life? What of the demands for “bringing back control” and thus reasserting national sovereignty? Will this trend make western countries more parochial, nationalist, and even isolationist, or do we still need greater global cooperation to solve our economic challenges including slow growth, climate change, and restricted trade? 

In the past, two kinds of populism have emerged: an economic populism that blames the financial elites and manifests itself in movements to “take back control,” and a cultural populism that demonizes the outsider and often marches under a strongly nationalistic banner. At one and the same time, America and the West seem to be experiencing both kinds of populism. From his unique vantage point as a former British PM and the Chairman of the G20 during the financial crisis, Gordon Brown, who has studied populism movements, sets out an agenda on how to succeed in the face of them.

Never before have businesses felt such excruciating pressure to compete. The go-go days of the 1990s turned into the go-sideways days of the 2000s. What’s next? While enjoying super low interest rates and riding a roller coaster stock market, firms have struggled to raise prices, even when their costs go up. China poses a threat but also an opportunity for new sales. Loyal customers seem ready to jump to a competitor. How can your company or industry survive and thrive? Can the Fed keep the economy recovering in the Janet Yellen era? Will Congress try yet another “stimulus”? Todd Buchholz, who led the White House Energy Strategy, will help you figure out whether OPEC and Russia can tighten energy supplies again or whether a revolution in natural gas will reinvigorate U.S. factories. Learn how the “scissors economy” opens up new business and investment opportunities. Today might be the very best—or the very worst—time to finance a loan. By “connecting the dots” of the world economy, Todd teaches how to anticipate the new trends that open up fresh opportunities for manufacturing, service and technology companies.

Mom always told us not to talk to strangers, but are there really any strangers today? Five years ago it was unthinkable to flag down a random car and hop in for a ride, but today, with the use of technology, we don’t hesitate in sharing rides with people we don’t know. We are willing to hire a handyman through an app, such as TaskRabbit, and we are renting out rooms in our own houses to people we’ve never met before. How did the sharing economy begin and what will it evolve to next? In this dynamic speech, Busque will share her story of starting TaskRabbit and why 2008 was a pinnacle for the beginning of the sharing economy. Over the last 8 years, this new trend has evolved into mainstream adoption and continues to grow and scale in new ways that are changing the future of work. Busque will explore how businesses, large and small, will need to evolve to support this new fragmented workforce, and how, despite the skeptics, providing more flexibility and entrepreneurship in our work environments will drive innovation, support diversity, and ultimately translate to stronger, longer lasting companies.

At the start of the new millennium, the excitement around a ‘global economy’ was palpable with sugar plums in the form of trading partners dancing around in world leaders’ heads. With the implosion of Greece, concerns about Italy, Spain and Portugal still hovering over the world economy’s head, can the U.S. stand a chance of recovering? The unequivocal answer from Liz Claman is YES and here’s how and why it’ll happen. Her access to the world’s biggest business leaders from Warren Buffett to Bill Gates to Google’s Eric Schmidt to Intel’s Paul Otellini to Alcoa’s Klaus Kleinfeld reveal the real and more optimistic answers.

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